Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 64.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lazar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Lazar
Evans
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
5
Lazar
Evans
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
53.8% (3,695)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
60.0% (70)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
47.1% (1,222)
-5.2%
On power play, Evans has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Home / Away
Lazar
Evans
Home
50.1% (1,542)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Lazar
Evans
P1
48.9%
54.0%
P2
48.9%
50.9%
P3
49.5%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |