Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Evans 49.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 55.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 50.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lazar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lazar
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Lazar
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Lazar
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
51.3% (739)
+0.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.3% (15)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
43.0% (172)
-5.2%
On power play, Evans has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Lazar
Evans
Home
43.5% (131)
52.1% (503)
Away
53.7% (147)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Lazar
Evans
P1
53.8%
50.5%
P2
50.5%
47.7%
P3
41.2%
51.3%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |