Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Evans 55.4% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 50.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Lazar
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
56.2% (477)
+7.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
70.0% (10)
-70.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
55.4% (204)
+0.9%
On power play, Evans has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Lazar
Evans
Home
63.3% (128)
55.3% (374)
Away
59.3% (118)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Lazar
Evans
P1
64.6%
58.5%
P2
60.5%
55.7%
P3
59.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
68.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%