Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Evans 52.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 60.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Lazar
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Lazar
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
54.4% (807)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
55.0% (20)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
46.1% (310)
+3.9%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Lazar
Evans
Home
49.2% (189)
53.7% (581)
Away
48.3% (176)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Lazar
Evans
P1
50.8%
54.6%
P2
45.2%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |