Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.0%). Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Evans 51.7% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 54.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 51.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lazar
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
54.5% (483)
-1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.3% (12)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
43.9% (155)
-10.6%
On power play, Lazar has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Lazar
Evans
Home
57.1% (119)
49.4% (336)
Away
47.1% (153)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Lazar
Evans
P1
53.1%
55.8%
P2
52.2%
51.7%
P3
48.8%
48.2%
Final 5 min
42.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%