Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Cates 40.4% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 61.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 55.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 63.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Lazar
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Lazar
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
40.4% (841)
+12.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
42.4% (66)
+57.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
32.7% (147)
+0.6%
On power play, Lazar has a +57.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cates
Home
57.1% (119)
38.2% (566)
Away
47.1% (153)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Lazar
Cates
P1
53.1%
40.5%
P2
52.2%
42.4%
P3
48.8%
35.3%
Final 5 min
42.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |