Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Cates 45.8% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 52.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 52.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lazar
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
44.3% (271)
+4.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
77.8% (18)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
31.7% (41)
+18.3%
On power play, Cates has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Lazar
Cates
Home
49.2% (189)
52.0% (148)
Away
48.3% (176)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Lazar
Cates
P1
50.8%
42.7%
P2
45.2%
42.9%
P3
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%