Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Vatrano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Vatrano 49.3% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 55.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 57.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Mercer
Vatrano
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Vatrano
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
48.5% (33)
-7.5%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
0.0% (1)
+35.7%
On power play, Mercer has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vatrano shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Vatrano is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Mercer
Vatrano
Home
45.2% (126)
45.0% (20)
Away
35.1% (111)
50.0% (14)
By Period
Mercer
Vatrano
P1
34.5%
55.6%
P2
43.4%
20.0%
P3
45.8%
57.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
47.1%