Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Dickinson 48.0% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 68.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 73.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.5%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Mercer
Dickinson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
48.6% (626)
-5.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
44.0% (25)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.2% (120)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dickinson
Home
39.0% (82)
45.4% (368)
Away
45.8% (83)
49.9% (403)
By Period
Mercer
Dickinson
P1
45.5%
49.2%
P2
44.0%
46.3%
P3
36.7%
48.1%
Final 5 min
36.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%