Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Dickinson 49.6% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 75.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 86.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.5%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Mercer
Dickinson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
51.8% (643)
-13.0%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
66.7% (9)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
38.7% (150)
+11.3%
On power play, Dickinson has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dickinson
Home
34.7% (144)
48.7% (419)
Away
43.2% (146)
50.4% (383)
By Period
Mercer
Dickinson
P1
32.7%
42.6%
P2
42.7%
55.0%
P3
42.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%