Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Dickinson 49.5% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 71.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 82.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Mercer
Dickinson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
51.5% (695)
-10.5%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
54.5% (11)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
42.4% (210)
-6.0%
On power play, Dickinson has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dickinson
Home
45.2% (126)
53.6% (489)
Away
35.1% (111)
44.7% (427)
By Period
Mercer
Dickinson
P1
34.5%
47.7%
P2
43.4%
52.1%
P3
45.8%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%