Scouting Report
Jordan Greenway holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greenway shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Greenway 45.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greenway 68.0%
Defensive zone
Greenway 66.8%
Neutral zone
Greenway 57.7%
Result
Jordan Greenway favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Mercer
Greenway
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Greenway
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Greenway
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Greenway
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
37.8% (37)
-2.4%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
36.4% (11)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Mercer has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greenway shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Greenway is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Mercer
Greenway
Home
39.9% (283)
37.5% (24)
Away
31.3% (307)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Mercer
Greenway
P1
37.7%
27.8%
P2
32.1%
36.4%
P3
37.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Greenway
26.0%▼
30.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |