Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +28.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Greenway shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Greenway 45.6% (+28.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.6%
Defensive zone
Mercer 57.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Mercer
Greenway
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Greenway
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Greenway
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Greenway
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
15.4% (13)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
0.0% (1)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greenway shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Greenway is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Mercer
Greenway
Home
39.0% (82)
0.0% (9)
Away
45.8% (83)
40.0% (5)
By Period
Mercer
Greenway
P1
45.5%
20.0%
P2
44.0%
0.0%
P3
36.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Greenway
26.0%▼
30.5%
14.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |