Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greenway shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Greenway 42.7% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.7%
Defensive zone
Greenway 64.9%
Neutral zone
Greenway 53.1%
Result
Jordan Greenway favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Mercer
Greenway
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Greenway
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greenway
0
1
Mercer
Greenway
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Greenway
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
30.8% (39)
+12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
29.4% (17)
+40.6%
On power play, Mercer has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greenway shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Greenway is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Mercer
Greenway
Home
41.7% (120)
31.6% (38)
Away
47.6% (145)
26.3% (19)
By Period
Mercer
Greenway
P1
44.6%
25.0%
P2
45.4%
33.3%
P3
45.2%
31.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Greenway
26.0%▼
30.5%
29.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jordan Greenway |