Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greenway shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Greenway 42.5% (+19.9%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 56.2%
Defensive zone
Greenway 53.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Mercer
Greenway
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Greenway
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
18.2% (22)
+22.8%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
0.0% (1)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
27.3% (11)
+9.1%
On power play, Mercer has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greenway shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Greenway is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Mercer
Greenway
Home
45.2% (126)
22.2% (18)
Away
35.1% (111)
18.8% (16)
By Period
Mercer
Greenway
P1
34.5%
33.3%
P2
43.4%
20.0%
P3
45.8%
0.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Greenway
26.0%▼
30.5%
20.6%