Dawson Mercer vs Kasperi Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Kapanen 40.5% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 50.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.7%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Mercer
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
37.1% (213)
+2.0%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
50.0% (4)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
34.1% (41)
+5.9%
On power play, Kapanen has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Mercer is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Mercer shoots right. Kapanen is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kapanen
Home
40.0% (755)
39.7% (116)
Away
38.5% (792)
34.5% (142)
By Period
Mercer
Kapanen
P1
38.2%
35.6%
P2
39.2%
34.1%
P3
41.1%
40.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
36.8%