Scouting Report
Kasperi Kapanen holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Kapanen 45.9% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 51.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Mercer
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
40.2% (82)
+0.8%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
100.0% (1)
-64.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.5% (11)
-9.1%
On power play, Kapanen has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Mercer shoots right. Kapanen is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kapanen
Home
45.2% (126)
35.1% (37)
Away
35.1% (111)
45.6% (57)
By Period
Mercer
Kapanen
P1
34.5%
37.0%
P2
43.4%
43.3%
P3
45.8%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.5%