Scouting Report
Kasperi Kapanen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Kapanen 49.1% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 54.2%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 50.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Mercer
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
36.4% (11)
-1.0%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
100.0% (1)
-57.1%
On power play, Kapanen has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Kapanen is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kapanen
Home
39.9% (283)
37.5% (8)
Away
31.3% (307)
50.0% (4)
By Period
Mercer
Kapanen
P1
37.7%
60.0%
P2
32.1%
25.0%
P3
37.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.7%