Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 42.2% vs Geekie 46.8% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 55.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 61.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Mercer
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
44.4% (99)
-5.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
48.3% (29)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
0.0% (3)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Mercer is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Mercer shoots right. Geekie is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Mercer
Geekie
Home
34.1% (126)
43.7% (71)
Away
43.8% (144)
45.0% (60)
By Period
Mercer
Geekie
P1
31.3%
39.2%
P2
44.0%
50.0%
P3
43.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
35.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%