Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Geekie 52.1% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 78.9%
Defensive zone
Mercer 67.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 74.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Mercer
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mercer
Geekie
Last 5: Mercer 1-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Mercer
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Mercer
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
53.2% (615)
-17.8%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
44.4% (36)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
44.4% (18)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Geekie is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Mercer
Geekie
Home
39.9% (283)
55.0% (331)
Away
31.3% (307)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Mercer
Geekie
P1
37.7%
53.9%
P2
32.1%
56.0%
P3
37.7%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |