Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Geekie 47.6% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 57.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 56.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Mercer
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
47.0% (117)
-8.2%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
47.1% (34)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Mercer is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Mercer shoots right. Geekie is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Mercer
Geekie
Home
34.7% (144)
45.3% (75)
Away
43.2% (146)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Mercer
Geekie
P1
32.7%
43.1%
P2
42.7%
48.1%
P3
42.2%
47.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%