Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.9% vs 44.1%). Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Geekie 44.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 51.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 64.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 54.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Mercer
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Mercer
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Mercer
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
43.7% (584)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.1% (68)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
50.0% (8)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Mercer
Geekie
Home
41.7% (120)
45.3% (329)
Away
47.6% (145)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Mercer
Geekie
P1
44.6%
41.2%
P2
45.4%
45.0%
P3
45.2%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |