Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Geekie 47.3% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 63.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 56.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.6%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Mercer
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
45.7% (352)
-4.7%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
63.2% (19)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
33.3% (3)
+3.1%
On power play, Geekie has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Mercer shoots right. Geekie is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Mercer
Geekie
Home
45.2% (126)
48.5% (165)
Away
35.1% (111)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Mercer
Geekie
P1
34.5%
48.5%
P2
43.4%
45.1%
P3
45.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%