Dawson Mercer vs Nazem Kadri

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nazem Kadri holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 35.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 42.2% vs Kadri 49.5% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone Kadri 55.0%
Defensive zone Mercer 56.0%
Neutral zone Kadri 54.0%
Result Nazem Kadri favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Mercer Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
49.4% (688)
-10.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
52.2% (67)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
38.5% (13)
+17.1%
On power play, Kadri has a +23.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Mercer shoots right. Kadri is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kadri
Home
34.1% (126)
49.1% (407)
Away
43.8% (144)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Mercer
Kadri
P1
31.3%
56.4%
P2
44.0%
51.7%
P3
43.7%
41.4%
Final 5 min
35.4%
51.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
37.5%
39.3%
Kadri
48.0%
49.5%
49.5%