Dawson Mercer vs Nazem Kadri

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nazem Kadri holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 41.8% vs Kadri 47.6% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone Kadri 56.5%
Defensive zone Mercer 54.3%
Neutral zone Kadri 52.8%
Result Nazem Kadri favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Mercer Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
47.4% (821)
-8.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
48.8% (86)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +13.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kadri
Home
34.7% (144)
46.6% (487)
Away
43.2% (146)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Mercer
Kadri
P1
32.7%
52.7%
P2
42.7%
50.2%
P3
42.2%
40.2%
Final 5 min
39.2%
47.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.0%
Kadri
36.0%
39.5%
47.4%