Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Colton 48.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 51.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Mercer
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Mercer
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
45.5% (88)
-6.7%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
71.4% (7)
-36.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Colton is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Mercer
Colton
Home
34.7% (144)
44.7% (47)
Away
43.2% (146)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Mercer
Colton
P1
32.7%
52.8%
P2
42.7%
47.1%
P3
42.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ross Colton |