Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Colton 51.0% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 84.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 86.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 86.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Mercer
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Mercer
Colton
Last 10: Mercer 2-8 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Mercer
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
6
Mercer
Colton
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
4
Mercer
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
51.6% (1,800)
-12.5%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
48.8% (162)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
34.5% (29)
+5.5%
On even strength, Colton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Mercer
Colton
Home
40.0% (755)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
38.5% (792)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Mercer
Colton
P1
38.2%
53.5%
P2
39.2%
52.6%
P3
41.1%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |