Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Colton 51.8% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
Colton leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 78.4%
Defensive zone
Mercer 86.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 84.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Mercer
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Mercer
Colton
Last 10: Mercer 3-7 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Mercer
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
6
Mercer
Colton
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Mercer
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
52.7% (524)
-17.3%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
50.9% (53)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
0.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Colton has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Colton is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Mercer
Colton
Home
39.9% (283)
52.9% (291)
Away
31.3% (307)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Mercer
Colton
P1
37.7%
50.6%
P2
32.1%
54.4%
P3
37.7%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |