Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 40.2%). Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Colton 45.2% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Colton 63.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 59.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Mercer
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
41.3% (75)
-0.3%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
35.3% (17)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
40.0% (5)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Colton has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Colton is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Mercer
Colton
Home
45.2% (126)
42.9% (49)
Away
35.1% (111)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Mercer
Colton
P1
34.5%
48.9%
P2
43.4%
33.3%
P3
45.8%
31.8%
Final 5 min
47.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%