Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Colton 51.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 73.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 67.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 60.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Mercer
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Mercer
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
52.1% (741)
-8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
48.3% (60)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
42.1% (19)
+27.9%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Colton is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Mercer
Colton
Home
41.7% (120)
54.0% (411)
Away
47.6% (145)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Mercer
Colton
P1
44.6%
56.7%
P2
45.4%
53.1%
P3
45.2%
46.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |