Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Johansen 58.2% (-16.8%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 59.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 57.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Mercer
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
59.8% (625)
-16.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.2% (196)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
51.9% (27)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Mercer
Johansen
Home
39.0% (82)
60.3% (436)
Away
45.8% (83)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Mercer
Johansen
P1
45.5%
61.3%
P2
44.0%
60.4%
P3
36.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%