Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Gagner 43.8% (+12.0%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 57.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Mercer
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
31.0% (29)
+12.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
29.4% (17)
+10.6%
On even strength, Mercer has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Gagner is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gagner
Home
39.0% (82)
36.8% (19)
Away
45.8% (83)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Mercer
Gagner
P1
45.5%
27.8%
P2
44.0%
15.4%
P3
36.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
36.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%