Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Gagner 52.4% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.4%
Defensive zone
Mercer 60.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 56.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Mercer
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
76.5% (17)
-32.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On even strength, Gagner has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gagner
Home
41.7% (120)
75.0% (16)
Away
47.6% (145)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Mercer
Gagner
P1
44.6%
25.0%
P2
45.4%
64.3%
P3
45.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%