Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Blueger 52.7% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 87.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 73.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 70.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Mercer
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Mercer
Blueger
Last 6: Mercer 2-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Mercer
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Mercer
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
53.9% (529)
-18.5%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
50.0% (6)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
50.4% (137)
-50.4%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Blueger is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Mercer
Blueger
Home
39.9% (283)
54.3% (335)
Away
31.3% (307)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Mercer
Blueger
P1
37.7%
50.3%
P2
32.1%
55.2%
P3
37.7%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |