Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Blueger 52.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 90.7%
Defensive zone
Mercer 53.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 75.0%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Mercer
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mercer
Blueger
Last 5: Mercer 1-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Mercer
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Mercer
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
54.2% (590)
-10.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
71.4% (14)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
48.0% (177)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Blueger is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Mercer
Blueger
Home
41.7% (120)
53.2% (378)
Away
47.6% (145)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Mercer
Blueger
P1
44.6%
54.3%
P2
45.4%
56.7%
P3
45.2%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |