Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Blueger 51.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 75.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 94.1%
Neutral zone
Blueger 75.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Mercer
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
54.1% (425)
-10.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
100.0% (6)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.8% (144)
-15.2%
On power play, Blueger has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Blueger is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Mercer
Blueger
Home
39.0% (82)
52.5% (282)
Away
45.8% (83)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Mercer
Blueger
P1
45.5%
49.2%
P2
44.0%
57.2%
P3
36.7%
50.8%
Final 5 min
36.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |