Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Blueger 50.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 87.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 50.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 72.0%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Mercer
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mercer
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Mercer
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Mercer
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
53.3% (745)
-12.3%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
45.5% (11)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
41.7% (259)
-5.3%
On even strength, Blueger has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Blueger is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Mercer
Blueger
Home
45.2% (126)
53.4% (504)
Away
35.1% (111)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Mercer
Blueger
P1
34.5%
46.6%
P2
43.4%
53.0%
P3
45.8%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |