Dawson Mercer vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 82.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 95.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 89.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 90.2%
9.8%
90.2%
Mercer
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mercer
Karlsson
Last 5: Mercer 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
51.8% (7,849)
-12.7%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
54.8% (1,048)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
44.2% (1,109)
-4.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Mercer
Karlsson
Home
40.0% (755)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
38.5% (792)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Mercer
Karlsson
P1
38.2%
50.3%
P2
39.2%
51.3%
P3
41.1%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |