Dawson Mercer vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 35.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 42.2% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-18.3%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 76.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Mercer
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
58.5% (135)
-19.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
80.0% (5)
-51.4%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
44.4% (18)
+11.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mercer is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Mercer shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Mercer
Karlsson
Home
34.1% (126)
63.7% (91)
Away
43.8% (144)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Mercer
Karlsson
P1
31.3%
54.4%
P2
44.0%
66.7%
P3
43.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
35.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%