Dawson Mercer vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-18.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 79.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Mercer
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
58.5% (135)
-19.7%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
80.0% (5)
-44.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Mercer
Karlsson
Home
34.7% (144)
63.7% (91)
Away
43.2% (146)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Mercer
Karlsson
P1
32.7%
54.4%
P2
42.7%
66.7%
P3
42.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
39.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%