Dawson Mercer vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Mercer
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
58.6% (597)
-17.6%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
57.9% (57)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
51.9% (52)
-15.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Mercer
Karlsson
Home
45.2% (126)
59.6% (344)
Away
35.1% (111)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Mercer
Karlsson
P1
34.5%
53.1%
P2
43.4%
62.1%
P3
45.8%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%