Dawson Mercer vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-12.9%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 71.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Mercer
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
55.3% (897)
-12.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
61.1% (113)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.8% (132)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Mercer
Karlsson
Home
39.0% (82)
58.6% (560)
Away
45.8% (83)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Mercer
Karlsson
P1
45.5%
55.8%
P2
44.0%
55.6%
P3
36.7%
55.7%
Final 5 min
36.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%