Dawson Mercer vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Mercer
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
56.3% (739)
-12.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
58.6% (181)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
47.2% (53)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Mercer
Karlsson
Home
41.7% (120)
56.5% (462)
Away
47.6% (145)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Mercer
Karlsson
P1
44.6%
57.1%
P2
45.4%
55.2%
P3
45.2%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
44.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%