Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Ryan 50.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 57.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 84.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 74.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Newhook
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Newhook
Ryan
Last 5: Newhook 3-2 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
0
Newhook
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Newhook
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
50.9% (344)
-9.1%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
75.0% (4)
-39.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Newhook is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Newhook shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Newhook
Ryan
Home
42.4% (236)
53.7% (214)
Away
40.4% (267)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Newhook
Ryan
P1
42.9%
45.0%
P2
38.5%
50.0%
P3
43.2%
54.6%
Final 5 min
36.1%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |