Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Toninato 48.8% (+8.0%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 71.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 81.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Ryan
Toninato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
47.6% (103)
+13.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
25.0% (4)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Toninato is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Ryan
Toninato
Home
56.7% (201)
47.3% (55)
Away
54.8% (208)
48.1% (54)
By Period
Ryan
Toninato
P1
56.7%
55.9%
P2
56.8%
51.6%
P3
53.7%
38.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.7%