Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.4% vs 60.0%). Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Toninato 50.5% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 53.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 71.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 54.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Ryan
Toninato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
60.0% (5)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Toninato is 100.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Ryan
Toninato
Home
64.2% (137)
60.0% (5)
Away
55.8% (113)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Ryan
Toninato
P2
62.8%
50.0%
P3
59.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
60.0%