Derek Ryan vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 77.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 61.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 76.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Ryan
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Ryan
Gaudreau
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Gaudreau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
3
Ryan
Gaudreau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
3
Ryan
Gaudreau
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.7% (3,745)
+7.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
53.9% (219)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
46.6% (789)
+1.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gaudreau
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Ryan
Gaudreau
P1
55.1%
49.7%
P2
54.7%
47.3%
P3
56.0%
49.1%
OT
58.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |