Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 70.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 69.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Ryan
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
49.2% (858)
+12.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
39.0% (41)
+61.0%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
46.0% (198)
+5.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gaudreau
Home
64.2% (137)
47.1% (546)
Away
55.8% (113)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Ryan
Gaudreau
P1
58.9%
46.8%
P2
62.8%
46.8%
P3
59.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |