Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 64.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Ryan
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
49.0% (408)
+11.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
68.0% (25)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
49.1% (114)
-2.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gaudreau
Home
56.7% (201)
50.8% (319)
Away
54.8% (208)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Ryan
Gaudreau
P1
56.7%
53.4%
P2
56.8%
47.4%
P3
53.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%