Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Schwartz 49.6% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 69.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 83.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Ryan
Schwartz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
50.0% (32)
+10.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
0.0% (1)
+43.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Schwartz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Ryan
Schwartz
Home
56.7% (254)
42.1% (19)
Away
55.0% (258)
56.3% (16)
By Period
Ryan
Schwartz
P1
56.9%
47.1%
P2
51.7%
45.5%
P3
59.2%
40.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
48.6%