Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Schwartz 50.0% (+10.4%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 74.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 83.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Ryan
Schwartz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
46.2% (39)
+15.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.2% (29)
+44.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Schwartz is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Ryan
Schwartz
Home
64.2% (137)
55.9% (34)
Away
55.8% (113)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Ryan
Schwartz
P1
58.9%
52.9%
P2
62.8%
50.0%
P3
59.3%
47.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%